Monday, September 19, 2016

Quarterly Results Review - 2016Q2

Frasers Centrepoint Trust (FY2016Q2)

DPU in previous vs current: $0.116 - > $0.120
Price in previous vs current: $2.00 -> $2.17
Yield in previous vs current: 5.8% -> 5.5%
BV in previous vs current: $1.91-> $1.90

Revenue dipped as expected due to Northpoint AEI. Income was stable due to retained distributions from previous quarter, and higher management fee in units. Debt remains healthy.

Super Group (FY2016Q2)

EPS in previous vs current: $0.0424
EPS in previous Q2 vs current: $0.094 -> 0.088
DPU in previous vs current: $0.010 -> $0.010
Price in previous vs current: $0.90 -> $0.78

Tolerable results with profits dropping "just" 7%.

The reasons for holding remains the same as before - strong operating cash flow (and FCF) and balance sheet with good margins. I am estimating 4 cents earning for the year.

No turnaround in sight so this will be in the freezer for a while.


Sembcorp Industries (FY20161H)

EPS in previous 1H vs current: $0.20 -> $0.97
DPU in previous 1H vs current: $0.05 -> $0.04
Price in previous vs current: $2.7 -> $2.8
Yield in previous vs current: 4.0% -> 2.8%
BV in previous vs current: $3.6 -> $3.6 (~$3.3 excl. pref shares)

Surprising hit on Utilities segment, although I am still confident in the long-term fundamentals of India. Marine as expected post disastrous results.

Assuming an annualized EPS of 19cents, P/E at current price is 14.7.

M1 (FY2016Q2)

EPS in 2014 vs 2015:  $0.191 -> $0.191
EPS in previous 1H vs current: $0.096 -> $0.089
DPU in previous vs current: $0.153 -> $0.153
Price in previous vs current: $2.48 -> $2.78
Yield in previous vs current: 6.2% -> 5.5%

Management guided single digit decline in profit. Not good at all. Interim dividends of 7c is maintained.

They are investing in new technologies but it will take the longer term to see any payoff.


Capital Commercial Trust (FY2016Q2)

DPU in 2014 vs 2015: $0.086 -> $0.086
DPU in previous Q2 vs current: $0.0219 -> $0.0220
Price in previous vs current: $1.4 -> $1.55
Yield in previous vs current: 6.1% -> 5.5%
BV in previous vs current: $1.72 -> $1.72

Flat results and DPU should be maintained. I don't see any upsides or downsides now, and at this price it's probably fully valued.
Accordia Golf Trust (FY2016Q1)

DPU in previous Q1 vs current: $0.00176 -> $0.0182 (12M: $0.0663)
Price in previous vs current: $0.65 -> $0.68
Yield in previous vs current: ~10%
BV in previous vs current: $0.89 -> $0.96

Slight decrease in operating income (2.3%) due to heavy rains and earthquake, but DPU increased slightly due to Yen appreciation. Profits after tax is 6% lower.

No of visitors and utilization rate went slightly lower due to above reasons, but should not pose too much concern. This is still trading at a huge discount to NAV which is my safety net.

My yield cow for the long term.

ST Engineering (FY2016Q2)

Flattish results but management foresee lower profits compared to 2015.

This is in contrast with the "comparable profits" guidance given earlier, leading to selldown in share price.
Straits Times Index (FY2016)

Not Applicable


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