Sunday, May 1, 2016

Letter To Shareholders (2) - Performance Review 2016Q1

Welcome to the 2nd issue of ZZ Holdings Shareholders Letter.

Performance Highlights
Year 2016 started off with another round of sell-off, dragging the STI to a 5-year low of 2550. At that point, our equities portfolio was down as much as 15%. A strong rebound in March pushed us back into positive territory - fueled mainly by recovery of Super Group, Sembcorp and ST Engineering.

We are proud to announce that the company outperformed the market in 2016Q1, registering a 5.3% growth. This is a strong set of results, considering the STI continue to dip a further 3%.

In first quarter, we paid out over $500 in dividends, compared to just over $100 during the same period last year.

Operating Income - Record Revenue
In the 1st quarter of 2016, the company attained record revenue - roughly 22% higher than the same period last year. This is mainly attributed to higher than expected bonus in March, as well as unexpected windfall during the CNY season.

While we are pleased with the results, we do not expect such level of income to recur in the subsequent years.

Expenses for the quarter was 32% lower year on year - largely due to the absence of one-off big purchase (mattress) in Feb 2015. On the other hand, expenses were much higher in March 2016 due to the purchase of Daskey Keyboard, higher apparel and restaurant expenses.

If we exclude all one-time purchases, our expenses would be about 7% higher.


Opportune Trade In ST Engineering (STE)
We took advantage of the bear and brought STE during the January lows. While the initial plan was to hold it for the long term, we decided to capitalize on the opportunity to lock in the gains for our portfolio. This is in consideration that we have unlisted STE securities, and will continue to profit even if it continues its uptrend.

Overall, we held on to the stock for 2+ months and profited roughly 3 years of STE dividends. We believe there will be opportunities to buy back this defensive conglomerate for a lower price in the near future, or at least within the next 2 years.

Financial Accounts - Preparing For The Future
In March, we setup a Citibank Maxigain Account - which grants an interest of 80% of SIBOR + Step Up to 1.2%. Given the trend of rising SIBOR rates, this account has the potential to generate more than 2% risk free interest in the future. These are extremely attractive rates (for cash holdings) in exchange for a slight dip in our short term interest income.

Following that, we setup a Standard Chartered Securities (SCB) account, paving the way to overseas exposure. Our plan is to eventually grow our business beyond Singapore via the IWDA (World Index). As of now, the board is still deciding between using SCB or Interactive Brokers - this is a long-term plan and more details will be announced as we finalize the strategy.

Finally, we added CIMB Cash Upfront to our repertoire. This account cuts both buying and selling commission to 0.12% (from 0.25%), substantially reducing our future transaction costs.

Outlook
Our main revenue source continue to remain uncertain. We will work to find a replacement as soon as possible. Meanwhile, we are actively managing costs - the board do not expect expenses this year to exceed 2015, given that we have made most of our big purchases last year.

Quarter 2 will be a strong dividend period, with a vast majority of our holdings going XD. At the same time, we will look to accumulate more bargains to grow our passive income.

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